Leicester City Overpriced?

I have been recently trialing for a tipster position with an asian handicap sports service, basically you provide them with tips and analysis over the course of a couple of months and if you have a 8% yield or higher on your tips then they will employ you as a paid tipster. Currently I have been doing this for 6 weeks and im around the 10% yield mark, so its going well so far but its much harder than I initially thought. Although one of the benefits is that its improved my discipline tenfold and even if I don’t hit the requirements at the end of the trial its been a very good learning curve for myself. The stipulations are that you choose one country for your selections and you can only use the odds provided by one certain asian handicap bookmaker, its been a challenge that’s for sure.

Apologies for the lack of updates on the blog recently but I have been finding it hard to get back into it, once you fall out of the routine its harder to get back in. Anyway as my title suggests I believe that Leicester are overpriced in this evenings league game against an inform Reading side. Odds of 2.26 (Betfair)are available on Leicester, which is very generous indeed. OK, Reading are one of the form teams in the division but they recently had 3 games in a row at home and have struggled to get results against the teams at the top.. (defeats to Sheff Utd, Blackpool and Forest). Reading are also nicely placed in mid table without much incentive to win, apart from keeping their run going but the playoffs are out of reach and they are safe from relegation. I would have Leicester at Evens to beat Reading tonight so that’s why im taking the 2.26 at Betfair.

Cheltenham has been and gone and I must say im licking my wounds a little bit after the carnage at Prestbury Park, I managed 3 winners during the week but luckily I was only playing with small stakes as I was unable to watch the racing due to work commitments.. Grrr but I did manage to watch the odds on Betfair fluctuate in running which kinda brings its own excitement!? Im not even gonna talk about Liverpool at the moment, im still seething from Sundays performance.

Good Luck to all having a bet this week.

Warnock to Rally the Troops!

This week saw Crystal Palace go into administration and face a ten point deduction dropping them to a place outside the relegation zone. Obviously a false position but yet Crystal Palace's match against bottom side Peterborough has been priced up as a relegation clash! Palace are 1.80 with most bookies to beat a poor Peterborough side who are winless away from home, this is a great bet and maximum bet is advised on Palace today.

Neil Warnock will use the fact they have gone to administration in their favour and create a siege mentally which will see Palace play out of their skins today - im sure of this. Palace should be 1.66 at best to see off Peterborough - get on now with bet365.com or 888sport. Infact Betfair is around 1.83/1.84.

Liverpool take on Owen Coyles Bolton this afternoon at Anfield as the reds need to put on a performance today and start finding the back of net. Rafa has been linked with Juventus as Ciro Ferrera got sacked yesterday and im sure rumours would intensify if Liverpool slip up again today.

Good Luck All.

Its all about timing...

It was one bet I didnt mind losing when backing both teams to score in the Liverpool V Spurs game on wednesday night! Liverpool played with passion and determination something the vistors lacked, Spurs were very average and inparticular Gareth Bale had a poor game. I am still waiting for Bale to actually produce something since his move to Tottenham a few years back, a very over rated player in my opinion - the fact Carragher beat him for pace summed it all up for Spurs.

I have been playing alot in the goals market recently with a great deal of success, I believe that these markets suit my style of inplay betting. I can read a match much better than I intially thought after predicting goals in the second half of the Mallorca Getafe cup game on wednesday (0-0 at HT 1-2 at FT) I lumped on over 1.5 and a bit 2.5 goals at half time and was duly rewarded with 3 second half goals, odds of 2.58 of over 1.5 was very generous and duly greened up after the first goal when odds dropped to 1.40.

And again in the Cameroon game last night, with the score at 0-1 to Tunisia I was expecting Cameroon to come out all guns balzing in a bid to qualify for the knockout stages. Both teams needed a positive result to qualify so end to end action was on the cards so a nice bet at 2.52 on over 2.5 goals at HT paid off when the the final score was 2-2. Of course hindsight is a wonderful thing when looking back on these bets but with the right research it makes these inplay markets a good source of winners, even 1 goal allows an opportunity to trade.

On a seperate note what application or gadget would anyone advise to upload screenshots onto blogspot?

Half Empty of Hall Full?

Liverpools season could take a huge step towards repairing itself tomorrow evening when they host Tottenham in which the winner will take a massive physcological boost in the race for 4th place. As a Liverpool fan I have been very depressed all season but looking at the table we are only 4 points from 4th place and this after playing so bad all season - it feels like we should be much further from 4th place so im remaining optimistic and hope Liverpool push on the second half of the season. A good bet for tomorrow nights game is both teams to score at 1.73 on Betfair.

On a personal note I have been making pleasing progress with my betting, over £200 in profit over the last 7 days but today I wiped out £170 in less an hour on horse racing - a stupid £20 loss in the first resulted in a chasing session which cleaned out my profits almost. Will I ever learn? If only I could practice what I preach!! arrgggh

I hope a few of you were on the Sergio Canales first goal at 13/2 on Sunday (thank god the first was an own goal!) It more than made up for the game finishing in a draw.

Good Luck All.

Terry has the last laugh

David Haye managed to see off the 7ft giant Valuev on Saturday night and became a heavyweight World Champion – a great performance. Although the fight wasn’t much of a spectacle due to Valuev’s statue-like performance it was still a night to remember for Haye. Haye had cleared wobbled Valuev in the 12th round as his speed and accuracy paid off.

The FA Cup saw a shock yesterday when Northwich beat League One Charlton unlike at Paulton Rovers on Saturday where Norwich put 7 past them!! It was a good result for Villa in the Premier League on Saturday, beating Bolton 5-1! So I hope the 1.88 that was available on Betfair before kickoff was snapped up as advised. It’s been a decent couple of weeks for myself and im very pleased about how things are progressing. I am being more selective and its paying off.

Chelsea were lucky to get a victory against Man Utd who deserved a draw at least, it was ironic that John Terry would score the winner after The News of The World has published a story about Terry’s dad dealing drugs! I saw the footage and read the article and it’s amazing that John Terry’s dad would do such a thing, im sure there will be a few chants about this next time Chelsea play away in the Premier League.

This coming weekend sees the World Cup playoffs take place and I will have a couple of selections for sure. On a sidenote Liverpool play Birmingham tonight and it will be interesting to see who is fit and if the fans start to get on Rafa’a back , I just hope we get a win and put in a good performance before the international break.

Yesssssssssss!

What a day yesterday was, Liverpool outplaying Man Utd and beating them 2-0! It was a deserved victory as Liverpool played with a high tempo and attacking football, Yossi Benayoun and Fernando Torres particulary impressing - Jamie Carragher was fortunate to stay on as he was the last man when bringing down Michael Owen but this was the piece of luck Liverpool have been missing in recent weeks. Lets hope they kick on from here and string some results together.

It was also a good day for my bank balance as Villareal beat Malaga 2-1 making it two out of two for me this weekend. This week sees the return of the Carling Cup, I usually avoid betting on this cup as its a minefield of understrength teams but I will take a closer look at the games and see if there is any value.

More than likely I will be back betting at the weekend, Good Luck to all having a bet this week.

The Yellow Submarine

For those that follow Spanish football will know the trouble that Villareal are currently in - "the yellow submarine" are rooted to the bottom of La Liga and face a Malaga team who are in freefall also. This will really be a basement battle but I expect Villareal to pick their first win of the season (1.70 with William Hill). Villareal were very unlucky in defeat against fellow strugglers Xerez last week having dominated the game and failing to take their chances. Its been the same old story all season, playing well but not taking chances but Sundays game at home to Malaga should be the perfect tonic for Villareal to break their duck.

Having seen the play-off draw for the World Cup taken place earlier this week one tie in particular stands for me - Portugal Vs Bosnia-Herzegovina GOALS, GOALS, GOALS was my intial reaction! Portugal have the genius that is Cristanio Ronaldo and Bosnia are so gung ho its unreal - a really good attacking team but awful at the back. So when this tie comes round (Nov 14/18 I believe) I would back over 2.5 goals in both matches OR back Portugal to be the highest scoring team in the Play-Offs for the World Cup at 3.75 with Boylesports.

It was really pleasing to see my selection come through today with Peterborough winning 3-0 against Scunthorpe at odds of 2.38 - I hope you all had a piece of this. I just hope im this happy tomorrow after the Liverpool Vs Man United game, it should be a great day of football with West Ham Vs Arsenal after the Liverpool game. Im nervously exicted about the game tomorrow and just hope we get our season back on track with a win against Man Utd, good luck all!