ss_blog_claim=0d04bb86acfed334bc043a8ead8bdbde ss_blog_claim=0d04bb86acfed334bc043a8ead8bdbde TopOfBlogs

Jose Mourinho to Real Madrid anyone?

Thursday 6 May 2010

Changing of the Guard

The past few weeks has seen the changing of the guard somewhat with Inter beating Barca in the CL, Spurs finishing in the top four and Chelsea look set to reclaim the title from United. Out of all these the Inter Milan and Jose Mourinho saga interests me most from a betting point of view. Mourinho looks set to leave Inter Milan this summer with Real Madrid/Liverpool/Man City/Man United all mooted as possible destinations, for my money I would back Jose Mourinho to be at Real Madrid next season - in fact I would place wheelbarrows full of money on this if I could find a market somewhere!!

Skybet had a market up briefly and I regret not taking the Evens that was available for the Real Madrid manager at the start of next season to be Jose Mourinho. The rumour mill has been going crazy about Jose coming back to England in the summer. Personally I think that Jose would like to win a la liga title before coming back to England – he has stated before he wants to be the first manager to win titles in England, Italy and Spain, Real Madrid will more than likely continue their tradition of a new manager each year and dump Pelligrini in the summer paving the way for Jose, this looks nailed on to me.

I have searched high and low for a market somewhere but to no avail, I even emailed Betfair to see if they would put a market up but they responded they might add a “Mourinho to Stay” market up, which would be a forgone conclusion in my eyes – its not when he is leaving it’s the club!!

If anyone can find some prices, please let me know!

Friday 16 April 2010

End of Season Break

It feels like I have lost my way a little bit recently with the blog and betting as a whole, I have good days and then very bad days where I end up chasing losses until im betting on the very last game in South America - not a good sign. So I have decided to take a break from betting and the blog while I regroup and decide if its healthly for me to continue!

I still cant seem to shake off this chasing mentality, binge-betfair if you like! So im just going to sit and enjoy the last few games of the season and possibly be back for the World Cup.

Tuesday 6 April 2010

What a week..

What a massive week this is for sports fans across the world, Tiger Woods tees off in the Masters in what is his first tournament since his sex scandel broke five months ago and I would take Woods on at all prices. I would lay the hell out of him, the pressure and intense media coverage on Woods will be a massive distraction for him. I believe Woods will just be glad to get the Masters in one piece Lay at 5.7 on Betfair - no way can I have Woods as favourite after his break from the game and his mental state.

We also see the Quarter Final 2nd legs of the Champions League and Europa League, Arsenal tonight take on Barcelona at the Nou Camp for a place in the Semi's. I fancy Arsenal to cause an upset and nick a win here, Barca captain Puyol is suspended along with defensive partner Pique and throw in Ibrahimovic who is injured and Barca could struggle. OK, Arsenal have injuries of their own with Fabregas, Song, Arshavin and Gallas all out injured but Walcott could run riot here if given the freedom and can see Arsenal nicking it by the odd goal. Back Arsenal at 9.0 on Betfair - a huge price! Will Barca have one eye on the weekends clash with Real Madrid? Lets hope so, either way I expect Barcalona to struggle against Arsenal then I also fancy Real Madrid to beat them on Saturday.

Newcastle also confirmed their promotion to the Premier League last night with a 2-1 win over Sheff United, alot of praise should be given to the team and manager Chris Hughton but personally I believe that Chris Hughton is not the man to take them forward in the Premier League. I could have managed Newcastle in the Championship this season - thats how good their squad is in comparison to other teams. Hughtons failure to control the players has resulted in cliques forming in the dressing room, the recent episode of Andy Carrol brekaing Steven Taylors jaw just goes to show the player power at Newcaste - Hughton failed to make an example of Caroll as he as seen as a popular figure in the dressing room and Hughton didnt want to upset the players.

In short, today I want Lay Woods and Back Arsenal.

Good Luck

Friday 26 March 2010

Should the Rich.... ?

Is it just me or should the rich abstain from buying their beloved football club? First off we had Mike Ashley buying Newcastle United and watching them fall quicker than John Terrys trousers at a team mates house!. Along the way there was pictures of Chairman Mike Ashley sitting with the Newcastle fans in the crowd watching the games, OK Mike we get it - you’re a fan too! He then decided to sack Allardyce and appoint the messiah Kevin Keegan (again) which was to end in tears as Keegan walked out over a power battle within the club.

Now David Sullivan has finally “gone home” and bought West Ham United, I have a lot of respect for Mr Sullivan and the success he achieved previously at Birmingham – looking back it was a wonderful job he done there over the last 10 years or so but buying a club like West Ham which is so close to his heart he has given him an almost impossible job. How will he ever be satisfied at West Ham as his expectations will be so high as a fan which leads to enormous pressure and mistakes a la Mike Ashley. I hope David Sullivan and West Ham do succeed but it’s a huge task for him and his team.

The reason I wrote this piece was down to David Sullivans “open letter” to the West Ham fans (he sent a copy to all season ticket holders at West Ham yesterday). It made me cringe and I feel for Gianfranco Zola as how can he run a team when the chairman undermines you like this. Of course, Sullivan is only doing this because he is a fan. And that’s why you don’t buy the club!! You’re a fan and should enjoy being fan as becoming chairman takes away that pleasure away somewhat.

Thursday 25 March 2010

83% of Statistics are made up

Well last nights result was a bit of a hammer blow, Leicester losing 2-1 in the last minute to Reading and looking back at my prediction I could have been guilty of only seeing one side of the argument. I tend to find when im making selections that I focus on the stats which favour my side of the argument and skim over the others. I even acknowledged the fact that Reading are in form yet I still opposed them, I think my own ego and stubbornness to be right is my downfall. Its only after the event I realize that I could have made a better judgement on the match based on the facts and form of both teams. Oh well, enough of the psychology lesson and back to football.

Chelsea walloped a sorry Portsmouth last night and it looks like David James is coming into some form for the World Cup!?! As I have mentioned before the state of Englands defence is a huge worry for me, Ashley Cole injured, Rio has back problems which has interrupted his season constantly, John Terry with all his personal problems and lack of form, Glen Johnson has only just come back from injury and all of the backups players lack top class experience.

Now Calamity James is back on the scene! His confidence must be shot to pieces as well playing for Portsmouth all season, shipping goals left right and centre. Does Fabio Capello stick by him or risk playing Joe Hart? Also the insipid recent performances of Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard for their club sides just compounds my optimism for South Africa 2010, the one shining light is Wayne Rooney.. Could he win us the World Cup single handedly?

Wednesday 24 March 2010

Leicester City Overpriced?

I have been recently trialing for a tipster position with an asian handicap sports service, basically you provide them with tips and analysis over the course of a couple of months and if you have a 8% yield or higher on your tips then they will employ you as a paid tipster. Currently I have been doing this for 6 weeks and im around the 10% yield mark, so its going well so far but its much harder than I initially thought. Although one of the benefits is that its improved my discipline tenfold and even if I don’t hit the requirements at the end of the trial its been a very good learning curve for myself. The stipulations are that you choose one country for your selections and you can only use the odds provided by one certain asian handicap bookmaker, its been a challenge that’s for sure.

Apologies for the lack of updates on the blog recently but I have been finding it hard to get back into it, once you fall out of the routine its harder to get back in. Anyway as my title suggests I believe that Leicester are overpriced in this evenings league game against an inform Reading side. Odds of 2.26 (Betfair)are available on Leicester, which is very generous indeed. OK, Reading are one of the form teams in the division but they recently had 3 games in a row at home and have struggled to get results against the teams at the top.. (defeats to Sheff Utd, Blackpool and Forest). Reading are also nicely placed in mid table without much incentive to win, apart from keeping their run going but the playoffs are out of reach and they are safe from relegation. I would have Leicester at Evens to beat Reading tonight so that’s why im taking the 2.26 at Betfair.

Cheltenham has been and gone and I must say im licking my wounds a little bit after the carnage at Prestbury Park, I managed 3 winners during the week but luckily I was only playing with small stakes as I was unable to watch the racing due to work commitments.. Grrr but I did manage to watch the odds on Betfair fluctuate in running which kinda brings its own excitement!? Im not even gonna talk about Liverpool at the moment, im still seething from Sundays performance.

Good Luck to all having a bet this week.

Monday 8 March 2010

All Work No Play

I was disappointed to see Sunderland limp to another draw against Fulham as I was really confident of this selection but it wasn't to be. Still I will keep going and plugging away, the last 7-10 days has been crazy for me at work hence the lack of activity on here and betting wise. Hopefully my late nights at work are over for another month and I can concentrate to increasing my Betfair bank.

There is plenty of action to get stuck into this and I fancy goals in Ipswich Vs Cardiff game tomorrow, back over 2.5 goals at 2.18 on Betfair also I like the look of Arsenal to see off Porto in their second leg match. Although there has been some news about the availability of Fabregas missing the game due to injury so I would wait to hear either way on this before backing Arsenal.

Cheltenham is also on the horizon and I cannot wait! I almost feel like a kid at Christmas when Cheltenham arrives, although this year I will be stuck at work I will watch the re-runs of the races in evening and keep up-to-date with the BBC website. I got burnt already this year with backing Mille Chief for the Triumph hurdle only to see trainer Alan King withdraw him from the race after being found lame last week, arrrrgggh. The perils of Ante Post betting.

Good Luck All.

Thursday 25 February 2010

Sunday Special...

As I was browsing the fixtures for this weekend I believe I have uncovered a gem of a bet! Ladies and Gentleman I propose that you take a wheelbarrow full of cash to the bookies and place it on Sunderland to beat Fulham on Sunday.

Heres why...
  • Sunderland face Fulham at the perfect time, Fulham are playing away in Ukraine tonight.
  • Sunderlands home form has been really solid - only losing 2 at home and beating Liverpool and Arsenal earlier this season.
  • Sunderlands injury situation has improved alot in recent weeks and this coupled with Fulhams midweek trip to Ukraine makes Sunderlands price too big to miss.
  • Fulham have only won once away all season in the Premier League.
Sunderland are available at odds of 2.26 right now on Betfair. Bet of the weekend for me!

Ok, dont get too carried away with the wheelbarrows of cash but im going to have a decent bet.

Good Luck to all those having a punt.

Monday 22 February 2010

Recharged and Ready!

Its been a few weeks since my last post as I have had the pleasure of a weeks break in Florida! A week in the Florida sun has defintely recharged my batteries and im ready to go again! It was interesting to be in Florida for the Tiger Woods press conference, you couldnt get away from it. Every local reporter and news channel covered the story and there was days of analysis and phone in's across America. Personally I feel it was a very bland and predictable statement from Tiger and the absence of wife Elin spoke louder than any words that "Brand Tiger" had scripted, I hope Tiger is able to concentrate on his golf very soon although I very much doubt that.

Back in England Liverpool have been limping along whilst neighbours Everton have battered Chelsea and Manchester United in recent weeks!! Still, we are still in the hunt for 4th place despite the shocking performance at Eastlands yesterday. This week sees loads of games to stuck into with full fixtures for Leagues One and Two and I really fancy Bournemouth to beat Barnet tomorow night odds of 1.74 are available on Betfair. Barnet do not travel well losing 11 of their 15 away games and Bournemouth will be looking to make amends for their defeat at Dagenham.

The Champions League is back as well, I saw the result Manchester Utd 3-2 AC Milan chalked up behind the bar in Florida and initally thought it was a good result for AC Milan as they got two away goals,  it wasn't until I sobered up and looked at the paper the next day that I realised that the game was in Italy.Why do the americans write the away team first!!! Grrrrr!

Good Luck to all those having a bet.

Monday 8 February 2010

Weekend Joy!

What a great weekend for football!! Firstly Liverpool saw off Everton in what was an X-rated derby game, I was wincing through most of the first half challenges – one inparticular to Javier Mascherano from Pienaar. This tackle should have been a straight red, a leg breaker if ever I saw one but thankfully Masherano was able to carry on despite a crunched shinpad! It was a game low on quality but high on passion and grit as Liverpool held strong despite playing with 10 men for an hour of the game. I celebrated like we won the cup at the full time whistle, it was a massive win for Liverpool and I just hope they can keep the same intensity for the trip to Arsenal on Wednesday night.

Another joyous result was Millwall ending Norwichs unbeaten run of 16 league games to give us a nice winner at over 2/1! And the surprise of the weekend for me was seeing Man City humbled by Hull, I had underestimated Hull in this match as I expected a stroll for the Man City boys – oh well, still well up for the weekend and moving on this weeks fixtures.

Crystal Palace will serve us well again this week, they have been on fire since they announced administration proceedings. They face a Swansea team on Tuesday night who themselves are playing some good football but Paula Sousa’s comments about “Palace should have been relegated for going into administration” will provide the carrot which Warnock will dangle in front of his players before the game. As I have said before Warnock is a master of rallying the troops and Sousa should refrain from making such comments before you play the opposition!!

I like the look of Palace win (draw no bet) at 1.75 with bet365.com – or those feeling braver back Palace to win at 2.50.

Good Luck All.

Saturday 6 February 2010

All Good Things..

This weekend I fancy 3 bets - first up is a bet in League 1 and it involves inform Norwich. Now Norwich have been on a hell of a run notching up 8 striaght victories and unbeaten in 16 league games! Today they travel to Millwall who themselves have been a good run winning the last 3 games without conceding and I fancy Millwall to end Norwichs run today, back Millwall at 3.05 on Betfair and have a saver on the draw to cover your stake. Millwall is always a tough place to play and Norwich still have main man Grant Holt out suspended.

The second bet is Manchester City to beat Hull at 1.80 on Betfair, Im not a fan of backing odds on away but City will have too much for a defensively poor Hull. Bellamy, Tevez and Adebayour will have a field day today and Hull will be playing the 3rd game in the space of 7 days. Another factor is that Hull put pretty much everything into holding leaders Chelsea 1-1 in midweek and City should benefit from that today.

I will post the third bet later as I will wait to hear some team for Sundays games, on a personal note I will be watching the Merseyside derby from the egde of my seat today - Everton have been finding some form lately :-/ It will be a tough game for Liverpool but I expect a 2-1 victory for the reds and have backed it at 15/2 on Bet365.com (stake is returned if it finishes 0-0 which is a nice bonus!)

Wednesday 3 February 2010

Fulham to heap Misery on Pompey

Its well known that Fulham are a team that I like to back when playing at home and I expect them to come out of the recent slump against a poor Portsmouth side, probably the worst team in the division. Fulham will have been buoyed by the deadline day triple signings they made - most notably Okaka from Roma. Whereas Portsmouth saw their best defender leave in Younes Kaboul heading back to White Hart Lane.

OK, Fulham have lost 5 games on the bounce but 4 of those games have been away with two of them against Spurs and Chelsea and their latest home defeat was against a counter attacking Aston Villa. There is nothing better for confidence then a home game against a recently weakened Portsmouth side! Fulham are currently priced up on Betfair at 1.89 and I suggest this is to be snapped up ASAP!! I would also have a small bet on the 2-0 scoreline at 8.8 on Betfair.

For those newbies to Betfair and betting check out my other blog The Betting Bonus King for some pretty sweet sign up bonuses and book reviews!

Come on Fulham!!

Tuesday 2 February 2010

Nags and Niggles

As I mentioned in one of my posts at the start of the year I had been approached by a new tipping service - Nags and Niggles. They are a husband and wife team who clearly love their horse racing, they started this service at the start of Jan and after a sluggish start I have been very impressed with thier recent form.

In total for Janaury they provided 115 tips of which 38 were winners and giving a ROI of 34% (based on Betfair SP). I would say that the bulk of selections are at the head of the market but they have tipped some very good priced horses recently including Tidal Bay (19.22) Jack Rackham (7.03) and Taffy Thomas (12.06) all based on Betfair SP and won last week!

They have endured losing runs of 6 or 7 horses but you will soon hit a run of winners which wipe out the earlier losses, betting with 100 level stakes WIN on each selection in January would see you with a profit of 4363 which is excellent.

Those on the look out for a tipster should take a look at Nags and Niggles - a great little service.

Sunday 31 January 2010

Super Sunday

Yesterdays prediction was spot on with Palace running out easy winners 2-0 - I love it when opportunities like that arise. Its a reminder that there is always a decent bet around the corner, never bet for the sake of it as next week you will need your cash for the opportunities that are staring you in the face!

Today sees Arsenal host Manchester United in what could prove to be a cracker of a game, over recent years Ferguson and Wenger have shown lots of respect towards each other in the media as their enemies have now become Benitez, Mancini and previously Mourinho and Mark Hughes. Fergie has pleaded with his fans to lay off Wenger with the sick chants that Man Utd fans direct at him - which is a sign of growing respect between the two managers.

I suspect todays game to be very tight with neither team wanting to lose this game, I expect there to be a few goals after a tight 30 minutes or and would back a correct score of 2-2 at 14/1 (those who want to wait 30 mins and then back 2-2 on Betfair for a much bigger price). I also like the look of Fabregas first goal at 10/1 with bluesquare.com, Cesc has probably been the best midfielder in the league this year he has been carrying Arsenal like Gerrard used to for Liverpool (I say "used to" as Gerrard has been below par for the last 12 months).

Good Luck to all today and enjoy the game!

Saturday 30 January 2010

Warnock to Rally the Troops!

This week saw Crystal Palace go into administration and face a ten point deduction dropping them to a place outside the relegation zone. Obviously a false position but yet Crystal Palace's match against bottom side Peterborough has been priced up as a relegation clash! Palace are 1.80 with most bookies to beat a poor Peterborough side who are winless away from home, this is a great bet and maximum bet is advised on Palace today.

Neil Warnock will use the fact they have gone to administration in their favour and create a siege mentally which will see Palace play out of their skins today - im sure of this. Palace should be 1.66 at best to see off Peterborough - get on now with bet365.com or 888sport. Infact Betfair is around 1.83/1.84.

Liverpool take on Owen Coyles Bolton this afternoon at Anfield as the reds need to put on a performance today and start finding the back of net. Rafa has been linked with Juventus as Ciro Ferrera got sacked yesterday and im sure rumours would intensify if Liverpool slip up again today.

Good Luck All.

Thursday 28 January 2010

Over Cooked

Two words to be optimistic of Englands chances in the summer… Wayne Rooney. Rooney is the best form of his life right now, banging in 4 goals last weekend against Hull and then scoring the winner in seml final last night against rivals Man City (the second time this season City have been undone at Old Trafford in stoppage time). Man City’s chief executive Garry Cook had made a bold statement recently about City’s ambition to be in the biggest club in the world, Fergie must have been rubbing his hands at the timing of Cooks statement. I can’t help but feel that Cook wont be at City for too long, he reminds me of a naive Peter Kenyon and some of the comments he has been making have made me cringe.

West Ham were unlucky not to beat Portsmouth this week, which was disappointing to say the least as I was on course for a correct 1-0 result and away win until Pompey equalized with 14 minutes left. Still onwards and upwards, tonights see the semi finals of the African Nations cup and the bet for me tonight is Ghana to qualify at the expense of Nigeria. God knows how Nigeria have got so far playing the negative football they do, Yakubu is bad enough when played upfront with a partner but playing as a lone striker!? (cue Yakubu hat trick) On the other hand Ghana have a great young team and I expect them to have too much for Nigeria.

Good Luck All.

Monday 25 January 2010

What If?

I was shocked to see that Algeria had beaten tournament favorites Ivory Coast in the African Nations Cup, this result will have been a major positive for England as it highlights the danger of Algeria. Im sure Fabio Capello would have been watching this game closely and would have learnt a lot from it.

It’s been a case of “what if?” for me lately; I was looking at backing Martin Kaymer for the Golf and Ghana outright for the ACON before a ball was kicked (I was so impressed by the Ghana U20’s in the recent U20’s World Cup) but I backed neither. I think im too impatient for these kinds of bets, waiting 4 days for the golf to finish and a few weeks for the Ghana bet – I prefer to see an outcome the same day I need to learn to trust my instinct and apply more patience. I know 4 days isn’t a lot but its much longer than a 6f race at Kempton!
I like the look of West Ham to beat Portsmouth tomorrow, Portsmouth are in a mess and struggling to find a side to put together. I read they may only name 3 subs! I somehow doubt that but this news coupled with West Hams recent performance at Villa Park and the new takeover I expect more positive results for the hammers. Back West Ham 1-0 correct score at 9.4 and West Ham to win at a stonking 3.10 both on Betfair.

Friday 22 January 2010

Its all about timing...

It was one bet I didnt mind losing when backing both teams to score in the Liverpool V Spurs game on wednesday night! Liverpool played with passion and determination something the vistors lacked, Spurs were very average and inparticular Gareth Bale had a poor game. I am still waiting for Bale to actually produce something since his move to Tottenham a few years back, a very over rated player in my opinion - the fact Carragher beat him for pace summed it all up for Spurs.

I have been playing alot in the goals market recently with a great deal of success, I believe that these markets suit my style of inplay betting. I can read a match much better than I intially thought after predicting goals in the second half of the Mallorca Getafe cup game on wednesday (0-0 at HT 1-2 at FT) I lumped on over 1.5 and a bit 2.5 goals at half time and was duly rewarded with 3 second half goals, odds of 2.58 of over 1.5 was very generous and duly greened up after the first goal when odds dropped to 1.40.

And again in the Cameroon game last night, with the score at 0-1 to Tunisia I was expecting Cameroon to come out all guns balzing in a bid to qualify for the knockout stages. Both teams needed a positive result to qualify so end to end action was on the cards so a nice bet at 2.52 on over 2.5 goals at HT paid off when the the final score was 2-2. Of course hindsight is a wonderful thing when looking back on these bets but with the right research it makes these inplay markets a good source of winners, even 1 goal allows an opportunity to trade.

On a seperate note what application or gadget would anyone advise to upload screenshots onto blogspot?

Wednesday 20 January 2010

Tweet Tweet

Just a quick post to mention that I have signed up with Twitter - I decided that Twitter is a quicker way to express my reactions and thoughts on bets and events. I will still be blogging but also supplementing it by using twitter. I also get to follow a few others that I like including Tim Lovejoy, Ian Poulter, Davina McCall and Sara Cox!!

You can find me on http://twitter.com/lumponsports.

Happy Tweeting!

Tuesday 19 January 2010

Half Empty of Hall Full?

Liverpools season could take a huge step towards repairing itself tomorrow evening when they host Tottenham in which the winner will take a massive physcological boost in the race for 4th place. As a Liverpool fan I have been very depressed all season but looking at the table we are only 4 points from 4th place and this after playing so bad all season - it feels like we should be much further from 4th place so im remaining optimistic and hope Liverpool push on the second half of the season. A good bet for tomorrow nights game is both teams to score at 1.73 on Betfair.

On a personal note I have been making pleasing progress with my betting, over £200 in profit over the last 7 days but today I wiped out £170 in less an hour on horse racing - a stupid £20 loss in the first resulted in a chasing session which cleaned out my profits almost. Will I ever learn? If only I could practice what I preach!! arrgggh

I hope a few of you were on the Sergio Canales first goal at 13/2 on Sunday (thank god the first was an own goal!) It more than made up for the game finishing in a draw.

Good Luck All.

Sunday 17 January 2010

LUMP ON BET!

Its been a while since I have posted but today I have a great bet in Spain for this afternoon.

Racing Santander to beat Valladoid at 1.99 on betfair, I make it a lump on bet for me as Santander are flying at the moment with 4 wins out of the last 5 including victory in seville last week. The visitors Valladoid have been in terrible form lately being thumped at home 4-0 to Athletico Madrid add together the low morale and missing players for todays game it makes Racing Santander a big bet for me.

Its just an hour to kick off so be quick! I also like the look for youngster Sergio Canales to score first at 13/2 on bet365 - the 18 year old striker for Santander scored a brace last weekend and has attracted the attention on the big boys in Spain.

Good Luck All.

Tuesday 12 January 2010

Third Time Unlucky

Well the 1 goal challenge lasted a grand total of 3 games before Ivory Coast and Burkina Faso had ruined the dream of becoming a millionaire through backing 1 goal or more. Although I lost 20 quid it was my pride that was more dented by only managing two winning bets before hitting a nil nil. With hindsight I should have given more thought to where the goals where going to come from, Burkina Faso were always gonna play for a 0-0, keep it tight and try a nick it late on and the emphasis was on Ivory Coast to break down their African counterparts.

No problem, I thought. Didier Drogba and co should bash a hatful past them but it wasn’t to be and the challenge ended over a miserable 3 games. Still lesson learnt and im going to stay away from International games, cannot be trusted as more often than not the minnows will put in a resolute performance and busting many banks in the process.

It’s not all boring 0-0’s in the African Nations Cup as hosts Angola drew 4-4 with Mali in an amazing first game, Angola were 4-0 up with 78 minutes with the draw at odds of 1000 on Betfair – cue Mali comeback.

I will be back with the 1goal challenge, after my wounds have healed.

Friday 8 January 2010

To Score or Not to Score?

That is the question! For a bit of fun I have decided to attempt the 1 goal or more challenge, I will start with a bank of 20 pounds and back 1 goal or more in selected games with my whole bank each time. Normally the odds vary from 1.05 to 1.15 and if I can hit around 50 winners in a row I will be looking to stop and bank the profits (although I will probably be tempted to bank some profits along the way!).

I have seen many attempts of this challenge on betfair forums and other blogs and it looks achievable giving good research and a bit of luck along the way. If I lose the 20 pounds after 3 bets then so be it! Hopefully it will help me improve my displine and Im always interested to try out other markets on Betfair.

I have stumbled across this website http://www.1goal.in/ which shows this can be done, with some users hitting 97 winners in a row before coming against a 0-0. It also provides you with a list of fixtures for the coming week and which leagues have the most goals scored - a handy little tool I shall be using. I will update my progress on the blog every few days so fingers crossed it rains goals for the next month or two!

Good Luck if you decide to take up this challenge also!

Can anyone advise what how to upload screenshots onto blogspot?? Thanks :-)

Wednesday 6 January 2010

Onwards and Upwards

I have recharged the batteries and over indulged during the Christmas break! I have also been pondering on how to approach my betting for 2010, I have been constantly battling the emotions of euphoria and depression when encountering winners and losers which subsequently results in adverse staking. I have become much better over the last few months since starting this blog and reading others who have the same patterns and behavior as myself. As of February I will be starting with a set bank and keeping track on this blog of my daily profits and losses which I hope will give me the final push into consistent profit making!

Also over the Christmas period I received an email from a new horse racing tipster called Nags and Niggles , it’s a husband and wife team who sent me a list of their results for the last 5 years (although not proofed, but I gave them the benefit of the doubt) and their strike rate is around 40% with the average price (SP) just over 2/1. You would have made 20k profit betting to 100 level stakes on each selection over the last five years which is a very decent return. They have started the service on 1st January 2010 and they are offering a free 7 day trial, its definitely worth a look and I will be reviewing the tips I receive over the next 3 months.

Not much football to go on this week with the weather playing havoc with the fixture list, so I will be back for the weekends action.