83% of Statistics are made up

Well last nights result was a bit of a hammer blow, Leicester losing 2-1 in the last minute to Reading and looking back at my prediction I could have been guilty of only seeing one side of the argument. I tend to find when im making selections that I focus on the stats which favour my side of the argument and skim over the others. I even acknowledged the fact that Reading are in form yet I still opposed them, I think my own ego and stubbornness to be right is my downfall. Its only after the event I realize that I could have made a better judgement on the match based on the facts and form of both teams. Oh well, enough of the psychology lesson and back to football.

Chelsea walloped a sorry Portsmouth last night and it looks like David James is coming into some form for the World Cup!?! As I have mentioned before the state of Englands defence is a huge worry for me, Ashley Cole injured, Rio has back problems which has interrupted his season constantly, John Terry with all his personal problems and lack of form, Glen Johnson has only just come back from injury and all of the backups players lack top class experience.

Now Calamity James is back on the scene! His confidence must be shot to pieces as well playing for Portsmouth all season, shipping goals left right and centre. Does Fabio Capello stick by him or risk playing Joe Hart? Also the insipid recent performances of Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard for their club sides just compounds my optimism for South Africa 2010, the one shining light is Wayne Rooney.. Could he win us the World Cup single handedly?

Leicester City Overpriced?

I have been recently trialing for a tipster position with an asian handicap sports service, basically you provide them with tips and analysis over the course of a couple of months and if you have a 8% yield or higher on your tips then they will employ you as a paid tipster. Currently I have been doing this for 6 weeks and im around the 10% yield mark, so its going well so far but its much harder than I initially thought. Although one of the benefits is that its improved my discipline tenfold and even if I don’t hit the requirements at the end of the trial its been a very good learning curve for myself. The stipulations are that you choose one country for your selections and you can only use the odds provided by one certain asian handicap bookmaker, its been a challenge that’s for sure.

Apologies for the lack of updates on the blog recently but I have been finding it hard to get back into it, once you fall out of the routine its harder to get back in. Anyway as my title suggests I believe that Leicester are overpriced in this evenings league game against an inform Reading side. Odds of 2.26 (Betfair)are available on Leicester, which is very generous indeed. OK, Reading are one of the form teams in the division but they recently had 3 games in a row at home and have struggled to get results against the teams at the top.. (defeats to Sheff Utd, Blackpool and Forest). Reading are also nicely placed in mid table without much incentive to win, apart from keeping their run going but the playoffs are out of reach and they are safe from relegation. I would have Leicester at Evens to beat Reading tonight so that’s why im taking the 2.26 at Betfair.

Cheltenham has been and gone and I must say im licking my wounds a little bit after the carnage at Prestbury Park, I managed 3 winners during the week but luckily I was only playing with small stakes as I was unable to watch the racing due to work commitments.. Grrr but I did manage to watch the odds on Betfair fluctuate in running which kinda brings its own excitement!? Im not even gonna talk about Liverpool at the moment, im still seething from Sundays performance.

Good Luck to all having a bet this week.

All Work No Play

I was disappointed to see Sunderland limp to another draw against Fulham as I was really confident of this selection but it wasn't to be. Still I will keep going and plugging away, the last 7-10 days has been crazy for me at work hence the lack of activity on here and betting wise. Hopefully my late nights at work are over for another month and I can concentrate to increasing my Betfair bank.

There is plenty of action to get stuck into this and I fancy goals in Ipswich Vs Cardiff game tomorrow, back over 2.5 goals at 2.18 on Betfair also I like the look of Arsenal to see off Porto in their second leg match. Although there has been some news about the availability of Fabregas missing the game due to injury so I would wait to hear either way on this before backing Arsenal.

Cheltenham is also on the horizon and I cannot wait! I almost feel like a kid at Christmas when Cheltenham arrives, although this year I will be stuck at work I will watch the re-runs of the races in evening and keep up-to-date with the BBC website. I got burnt already this year with backing Mille Chief for the Triumph hurdle only to see trainer Alan King withdraw him from the race after being found lame last week, arrrrgggh. The perils of Ante Post betting.

Good Luck All.

Sunday Special...

As I was browsing the fixtures for this weekend I believe I have uncovered a gem of a bet! Ladies and Gentleman I propose that you take a wheelbarrow full of cash to the bookies and place it on Sunderland to beat Fulham on Sunday.

Heres why...

• Sunderland face Fulham at the perfect time, Fulham are playing away in Ukraine tonight.
• Sunderlands home form has been really solid - only losing 2 at home and beating Liverpool and Arsenal earlier this season.
• Sunderlands injury situation has improved alot in recent weeks and this coupled with Fulhams midweek trip to Ukraine makes Sunderlands price too big to miss.
• Fulham have only won once away all season in the Premier League.

Sunderland are available at odds of 2.26 right now on Betfair. Bet of the weekend for me!

Ok, dont get too carried away with the wheelbarrows of cash but im going to have a decent bet.

Good Luck to all those having a punt.